Parking Spaces (Causal Flow Diagram Problem)
A mall expands parking to attract shoppers, but commuters occupy much of the added space. The exercise asks you to map how parking, commuter use, sales, and further construction can form a reinforcing feedback loop.
THE IDEA
EXERCISE 10 Parking Spaces
Construct a causal flow diagram for the following situation, indicating with “D” or “I” whether the cause-and-effect relationships are direct or inverse and identifying any feedback loop(s) as unstable (U) or self-stabilizing (SS):
With the expectation of increasing its clientele and thus its sales, a shopping mall in the suburb of a large city enlarged an area of the mall’s parking lot located near a subway station used regularly by commuters to and from the city. Commuters who did not shop at the mall parked their cars in the new lot, greatly reducing the spaces available to shoppers. As a consequence, the slight increase in sales generated by the new parking spaces did not offset the cost of construction. So the mall constructed more parking areas, but again commuters used up most of the spaces.
BEFORE CONTINUING, PREPARE A CAUSE-AND-EFFECT TABLE AND CAUSAL FLOW DIAGRAM ON THE PARKING PROBLEM.
The solution to Exercise 10 (page 321) shows one representation of these cause-and-effect relationships. As space for public parking at the mall increases, nonshopping commuters make greater use of mall parking (direct relationship), parking spaces available to shoppers decrease (inverse relationship), sales by stores in the mall decrease (direct relationship), and construction of new public parking spaces increases (inverse relationship). Under these assumed relationships, the reinforcing loop can lead to repeated construction without resolving the shopper-parking problem. The diagram alone does not establish that a crisis is inevitable.
When to use it
Analyzing unintended consequences of infrastructure expansion
Modeling shared resource usage in public spaces
Identifying feedback loops in policy decisions
Teaching causal loop diagramming with a relatable example
FROM THEORY TO EVERYDAY LIFE
In practice
Mall Parking Expansion
The shopping mall expands parking near a subway station; commuters use it, reducing shopper parking, leading to insufficient sales increase.
A MOMENT TO REFLECT
Put it to work.
How might the mall prevent commuter parking without alienating potential customers?
What other factors could influence the system described in the exercise?
How would a self-stabilizing feedback loop behave differently in this scenario?
CONTINUE THE CONVERSATION
Source texts
- The Thinkers Toolkit by Morgan D Jones