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Heuristics

Make a Plan

When facing an unpleasant truth or difficult decision, instead of resorting to denial or rationalization, create a hypothetical plan for how you would handle the situation if it were true. This reduces emotional resistance and clarifies your actual course of action.

THE IDEA

Make a plan

In one episode of the TV show The Office, bumbling branch manager Michael Scott has been told by upper management that he has to lay off one of his employees before the end of the month. Michael hates doing unpopular things, so he puts it off again and again. On the last day of the month, with only a few hours left, he still hasn’t decided who to lay off. One of the salesmen, Jim Halpert, drily sums up Michael’s knack for denial: “I think he keeps hoping that someone’s going to volunteer. Or be run over by a bus before the deadline.”

There are self-deceptive ways of coping with the thought of something unpleasant, such as coming up with rationalizations for why a task isn’t actually necessary, or flat-out denial, in the vein of Michael Scott. But there are also honest coping strategies, like coming up with a hypothetical plan.

I once felt guilty about something inconsiderate I had done to a friend and spent a week trying to justify my behavior to myself. Should I apologize? “No, that’s unnecessary. She probably didn’t even notice,” I told myself, at various times; and “She probably forgave me already anyway,” at other times. Obviously, I didn’t find these internally contradictory justifications fully satisfying, which is why I had to keep having the same argument with myself again and again.

Finally, I asked myself: “Okay, suppose I had to apologize. How would I do it?” It didn’t take me long to draft in my head the rough contours of an apology that I felt I could deliver without too much angst. And when I imagined my friend’s reaction, I realized that I expected her to be appreciative, not angry. Once the prospect of apologizing seemed tolerable, I returned to my original question: “Should I apologize?” Now the answer was much clearer: “Yes, I should.”

It’s striking how much the urge to conclude “That’s not true” diminishes once you feel like you have a concrete plan for what you would do if the thing were true. It doesn’t have to be elaborate. Even a simple plan, like “Here’s how I would explain the failure to my team . . .” or “Here’s how I would begin my search for a new job . . .” goes a long way toward making you feel like you don’t need to rely on denial to cope with reality.

When to use it

  • Deciding whether to apologize for a mistake.

  • Facing the need to deliver bad news to a team.

  • Considering a career change or job loss.

  • Handling a personal conflict that you've been avoiding.

FROM THEORY TO EVERYDAY LIFE

In practice

01

Michael Scott's denial (The Office)

Michael Scott puts off laying off an employee until the last day, hoping someone volunteers or is run over by a bus.

02

Author's apology dilemma

The author felt guilty about being inconsiderate to a friend and spent a week rationalizing. By planning how to apologize, they realized it was tolerable and that they should apologize.

✳

A MOMENT TO REFLECT

Put it to work.

  1. Think of a current situation you are avoiding or rationalizing. What would a concrete plan for handling it look like?

  2. How might making a hypothetical plan change your emotional response to an unpleasant truth?

  3. Can you recall a time when planning ahead helped you accept a difficult reality?

Often confused with

CONTINUE THE CONVERSATION

Source texts

  • The Scout Mindset (Julia Galef)
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