Skip to main content
Cognitive Biases

Expertise and Ease-of-Recall Heuristic

The ease with which information comes to mind influences judgments, but only when individuals perceive themselves as knowledgeable in the relevant domain. When they lack perceived expertise, they rely on the number of examples recalled rather than the ease of recall.

THE IDEA

Perceived Expertise and the Informational Value of Recall Experiences

In the preceding studies, the informational value of recall experiences was manipulated by drawing participants’ attention to an external source that allegedly facilitated or inhibited recall. The same logic, however, applies to an individual difference variable, namely one’s perceived expertise in the respective content domain. Suppose you are asked to list 12 famous Spanish matadors and find this task difficult. Chances are that you would not conclude that there are not many famous Spanish matadors; instead, you would blame your own lack of expertise for the experienced difficulty, thus undermining its informational value. As this example illustrates, individuals may only rely on recall experiences when they consider themselves at least moderately knowledgeable in the relevant content domain. Experimental data support this conclusion.

For example, Biller, Bless, & Schwarz (1992) had participants recall either 3 (easy) or 9 (difficult) examples of chronic diseases and subsequently asked them to estimate the percentage of Germans who suffer from chronic diseases. As expected, they estimated the prevalence of chronic diseases to be higher after recalling 3 (M = 38.3%) rather than 9 (M = 25.2%) examples, reflecting that they based their judgments on experienced ease of recall. To explore the role of perceived expertise, other participants were first asked to indicate how much they know about chronic diseases before they were asked to provide a prevalence estimate. The knowledge question was expected to draw their attention to their general lack of knowledge in this domain, thus undermining the informational value of their recall experiences. In this case, participants estimated the prevalence of chronic diseases to be lower after recalling 3 (M = 23.1%) rather than 9 (M = 33.0%) examples, reflecting that they based their judgments on the number of examples recalled.

These findings suggest that people rely on their subjective recall experiences only when they consider themselves knowledgeable, but turn to recalled content when they do not (see also Schwarz & Schuman, 1997). Extending this line of research, Vaughn (1997) explored the role of a particular kind of expertise, namely schematicity with regard to a personality trait (Markus, 1977). Specifically, she asked assertiveness schematics (who are considered experts on this trait) and aschematics (nonexperts) to recall either 3 or 8 examples of their own assertive behavior. As expected, assertiveness schematics based their self-assessments on their subjective recall experience and reported higher assertiveness after recalling 3 (easy) rather than 8 (difficult) examples. Conversely, assertiveness aschematics discounted their subjective accessibility experience and based their self-assessments on recalled information, reporting higher assertiveness after recalling 8 rather than 3 examples.

In combination, these studies indicate that perceived knowledgeability is a crucial prerequisite for reliance on experienced ease of recall as a source of information. When people are aware, or are made aware, of a lack of knowledge in the respective domain, the diagnostic value of recall experiences is called into question, much as is the case when their attention is drawn to external factors likely to influence their recall experience.

When to use it

  • Estimating the prevalence of health risks based on how easily you recall cases or statistics.

  • Self-assessment of personal traits (e.g., assertiveness, creativity) when recalling past behaviors.

  • Judging the frequency of events in news media (e.g., crime rates) and whether you attribute difficulty to your own ignorance.

  • Making decisions in unfamiliar domains where you lack expertise, where you might rely more on the number of examples rather than ease of recall.

FROM THEORY TO EVERYDAY LIFE

In practice

01

Chronic disease prevalence estimation

Biller, Bless, & Schwarz (1992) asked participants to recall either 3 (easy) or 9 (difficult) examples of chronic diseases and then estimate the percentage of Germans suffering from such diseases. Without a prior knowledge question, participants based their estimates on ease of recall (higher estimates after 3 examples). When first asked about their knowledge of chronic diseases, they shifted to relying on the number of examples recalled (higher estimates after 9 examples).

02

Assertiveness self-assessment

Vaughn (1997) studied assertiveness schematics (experts) and aschematics (nonexperts). Participants recalled either 3 or 8 examples of their own assertive behavior. Schematics used ease of recall: they rated themselves more assertive after 3 examples. Aschematics used content: they rated themselves more assertive after 8 examples.

✳

A MOMENT TO REFLECT

Put it to work.

  1. When you find it hard to come up with examples, do you attribute it to your lack of knowledge or to the scarcity of examples? How does this affect your judgments?

  2. How might marketers or politicians make use of the ease-of-recall heuristic to influence perceptions?

  3. Consider a domain where you feel expert versus a domain where you feel novice. How do your judgment strategies differ in terms of reliance on ease of recall versus content?

Connected ideas

Another lens can bring the same problem into focus.

References

  1. Biller, Bless, & Schwarz (1992) — Biller, Bless, & Schwarz (1992)
  2. Schwarz & Schuman (1997) — Schwarz & Schuman (1997)
  3. Vaughn (1997) — Vaughn (1997)
  4. Markus (1977) — Markus (1977)

CONTINUE THE CONVERSATION

Source texts

  • Heuristics and Biases The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (Thomas Gilovich, Dale Griffin, Daniel Kahneman)
← More cognitive biases